Picking Every Week 5 NFL Game Against The Spread with Warren Sharp | The Lefkoe Show

Share
HTML-code
  • Published: 04 October 2019
  • Warren Sharp is back, and he's got the analytics to back up some really exciting football gambling takes. We think the Browns might have been listening last week when Warren told us that they're using way too much 3WR sets. Lefkoe has some fascinating numbers about how teams perform after the bye, and Warren has an interesting explanation that has to do with the Players Association's Collective Bargaining Agreement. There's also some major takes on what the Steelers need to do in order to put Mason Rudolph in the best position to succeed. But most of all, more important than anything, Warren absolutely SHREDS Brian Westbrook for his belief that chocolate + peanut butter is a bad combo. Please let him know on Twitter that chocolate + peanut butter is amazing. Have a great week, and let us know how much MONEY you're making this season!!

    2:50 Warren’s statistical models are starting to pan out, but can’t stand all the 1pm games!
    5:00 5 of the 12 eventual playoff teams from last year were under .500 after Week 5
    7:10 Cleveland must have been reading Warren’s tweets based on the 11 personnel info
    10:32 The Eagles vs Green Bay: Any time they were in 12 with Goeddert with Ertz was devastating
    15:17 Home-field Advantage is DEAD in the NFL in 2019
    18:27 Bye Weeks: Does it actually give you a better chance to win?
    19:20 It’s all about the CBA
    24:35 49ers and Jets coming off a bye this week can seem like a good bet, but the numbers say different
    27:50 Teams with juiced up lines as favorites did very poorly against the spread
    29:05 New England is sitting -15.5 v.s Washington, is it too big of a line to take?
    32:39 Wait and see: Chicago’s line was -6, moved to -5.5
    37:07 Josh Allen vs Matt Barkley: What will we see from the Bills this week
    40:00 Looking at the games where the line moved a lot for Week 5
    40:30 New Orleans was sitting -6.5 vs. Tampa Bay, it’s now Saints -3.5
    44:00 Saints vs Bucs, scheduling edges
    47:25 Are the Bucs making a run at the playoffs?
    50:40 Predicting Ravens vs Steelers ATS
    52:45 The Steeler didn’t prepare Mason Rudolph to be the starting QB
    59:15 Ravens are 5-0 ATS in the last five games in Pittsburgh
    59:27 Predicting Packers at Cowboys ATS
    59:45 Why did Kellen Moore use such an inefficient game plan in Week 4?
    1:03:20 Chiefs were sitting -8.5 vs. Colts, now it’s moved all the way up to -11
    1:07:07 Denver Broncos are sitting +6.5 at Chargers
    1:08:30 Broncos coming off tough past 3 games vs. good defenses
    1:14:10 Keenan Allen will be shadowed by Chris Harris, who can LOCK him down
    1:15:28 Lefkoe’s leaning toward these spreads this week
    1:21:30 Lefkoe calls Krack to make his SuperContest picks

    Subscribe: http://cepnet.mobi/user/BleacherReport?sub_confirmation=1
    Follow on IG: instagram.com/f/bleacherreport
    Follow us on Twitter: twitter.com/bleacherreport
    Like us on Facebook: facebook.com/bleacherreport
  • Sport Sport

Comments • 58

  • Bleacher Report
    Bleacher Report   2 weeks back

    2:50 Warren’s statistical models are starting to pan out, but can’t stand all the 1pm games!
    5:00 5 of the 12 eventual playoff teams from last year were under .500 after Week 5
    7:10 Cleveland must have been reading Warren’s tweets based on the 11 personnel info
    10:32 The Eagles vs Green Bay: Any time they were in 12 with Goeddert with Ertz was devastating
    15:17 Home-field Advantage is DEAD in the NFL in 2019
    18:27 Bye Weeks: Does it actually give you a better chance to win?
    19:20 It’s all about the CBA
    24:35 49ers and Jets coming off a bye this week can seem like a good bet, but the numbers say different
    27:50 Teams with juiced up lines as favorites did very poorly against the spread
    29:05 New England is sitting -15.5 v.s Washington, is it too big of a line to take?
    32:39 Wait and see: Chicago’s line was -6, moved to -5.5
    37:07 Josh Allen vs Matt Barkley: What will we see from the Bills this week
    40:00 Looking at the games where the line moved a lot for Week 5
    40:30 New Orleans was sitting -6.5 vs. Tampa Bay, it’s now Saints -3.5
    44:00 Saints vs Bucs, scheduling edges
    47:25 Are the Bucs making a run at the playoffs?
    50:40 Predicting Ravens vs Steelers ATS
    52:45 The Steeler didn’t prepare Mason Rudolph to be the starting QB
    59:15 Ravens are 5-0 ATS in the last five games in Pittsburgh
    59:27 Predicting Packers at Cowboys ATS
    59:45 Why did Kellen Moore use such an inefficient game plan in Week 4?
    1:03:20 Chiefs were sitting -8.5 vs. Colts, now it’s moved all the way up to -11
    1:07:07 Denver Broncos are sitting +6.5 at Chargers
    1:08:30 Broncos coming off tough past 3 games vs. good defenses
    1:14:10 Keenan Allen will be shadowed by Chris Harris, who can LOCK him down
    1:15:28 Lefkoe’s leaning toward these spreads this week
    1:21:30 Lefkoe calls Krack to make his SuperContest picks

    • nwhittington7
      nwhittington7  1 days back

      9:55 Warren talks about Plain Vanilla Dicktake.

      • GO DYNASTY RAVENS!!!
        GO DYNASTY RAVENS!!!  7 days back

        Wow! Warren Sharpe are you Dumbledore in disguise?
        " And what may happen with Steelers against the Ravens."
        This was a preview of the game yet in between the lines SOMETHING REALLY HAPPENED AGAINST THE STEELERS. Rudolph got knocked out and Steelers lost..

        • Hambone from Hargroves Louisiana

          Hey would anybody mind sending me a few bucks on cashapp so i can play a parlay🤷‍♂️, ill send back if i win.

          • Holiday H
            Holiday H  1 weeks back

            LET WARREN TALK!!!!! We tune in to hear Warren discuss his rational, process, and findings NOT to hear you cut him off and jabber on about nonsense. Keep the flow going, be a good host, and let the man speak!!

            • gramusthegreat
              gramusthegreat  1 weeks back

              that beat at the beginning is sick....what is it anyone know ??

              • Mason Myers
                Mason Myers  1 weeks back

                I have Keenan going for 100 and a td against Chris Harris. Everyone was saying the same thing about slay against Keenan and he absolutely cooked him. I don't think there is a cb that can guard keenan rn

                • Malcolm Sovani
                  Malcolm Sovani  1 weeks back

                  lefkoe hating on the raiders

                  • kcheaden
                    kcheaden  1 weeks back

                    It was the injury to Denver LB Jewell that opened the floodgates for the Jax running offense last week.

                    • Cody Bennett
                      Cody Bennett  1 weeks back

                      Warren Sharp's mustache is where he keeps all of his information

                      • Robert L. Crocker
                        Robert L. Crocker  1 weeks back

                        I think sport betting is ruining the game. If I was a tackle for the Dolphins I would have all my buddies bet big bucks on the opposing team and then just not play too hard so opposing team makes it over the spread. Make lots of money. Hey.... Dolphins are losers. I'm going to get cut. But I walk away with the big bucks.

                        • Robert L. Crocker
                          Robert L. Crocker  1 weeks back

                          @mactown1990 All I'm saying is that if I were one of the marginal players I would be doing that. Maybe I'm different.

                        • mactown1990
                          mactown1990  1 weeks back

                          That’s what makes it fun because the athletes are not trying to do that!

                        • MrJamberee
                          MrJamberee  1 weeks back

                          Are you in 6th grade? Go take a nap.

                      • pbnaj
                        pbnaj  1 weeks back

                        I'm not defending the guy, but Ravens never had great wr for flacco

                        • Fresh Stacks 228
                          Fresh Stacks 228  1 weeks back

                          You guys are the truth. PFF are a bunched of arrogantly bad game picker a$$holes who use imaginary stats. Then talk so disrespectful about nfl players

                          • pbnaj
                            pbnaj  1 weeks back

                            May also be worth noting the combined winning percentage of all teams in bye each week then cross referencing with after bye ATS data.

                            • pbnaj
                              pbnaj  1 weeks back

                              Need to look at when the byes are. Are early, middle, late byes more succeptible to these stats. May be able to narrow it down for real

                              • pbnaj
                                pbnaj  1 weeks back

                                "is is" & "better bettor" in the first 6 minutes! You, sir, are a modern American hero. BTW I love the show

                                • Soggy Sports
                                  Soggy Sports  1 weeks back

                                  Ok listen
                                  Saints schedule:
                                  Houston (2-2)
                                  Rams (3-2)
                                  Seahawks (4-1)
                                  Cowboys (3-1

                                  Tampa schedule:
                                  (3-0 *hasnt played anyone)
                                  Panthers (2-2)
                                  Giants (2-2)
                                  Rams (3-2)

                                  Please don’t compare us and on top of that we done beat Seattle and cowboys with a backup

                                  • kingwells13
                                    kingwells13  1 weeks back

                                    Love ya work lefkoe but ya gotta get literally anyone else to co-host. He is honestly the worst person to listen to

                                    • Bax Mrackney
                                      Bax Mrackney  1 weeks back

                                      Home field only helps cold weather teams in the winter

                                      • A
                                        A  1 weeks back

                                        Warren Sharp carries Adam Lefkoe. You can do better Warren.

                                        • MrJamberee
                                          MrJamberee  1 weeks back

                                          Lefkoe contributes little of value, but he talks way too much.

                                      • MrJamberee
                                        MrJamberee  1 weeks back

                                        More of Warren, less Lefkoe, especially the nonsense about how saints are 12-1 in October. Give that idiocy a rest.

                                        • Keven Ramos
                                          Keven Ramos  1 weeks back

                                          Great show good luck guys 🤙

                                          • 27March27
                                            27March27  1 weeks back

                                            Warren, please get your own show man. Quality rules content.

                                            • BEastlyBronco
                                              BEastlyBronco  1 weeks back

                                              This is the best football betting show available to public! Way to go! Way better with Warren then with Simms. Lefkoe you rock!

                                              • Konnor Spencer
                                                Konnor Spencer  1 weeks back

                                                I respect football talk that isn't all about QBs

                                                • Iverson Jz
                                                  Iverson Jz  1 weeks back

                                                  lefkoe...u da man...w. sharp is da man...good to have him in the studio rather than on skype

                                                  • Lee DiNapoli
                                                    Lee DiNapoli  1 weeks back

                                                    Found this show 2 weeks ago. So informative. I absolutely love it.

                                                    • Nathan Fonoti
                                                      Nathan Fonoti  1 weeks back

                                                      I automatically like the video when I see Warren Sharp on it

                                                      • saltytoothpaste
                                                        saltytoothpaste  1 weeks back

                                                        Yooo, just want to say this show keeps getting better and better for the bettor. Keep it up!!!

                                                        • Matt M
                                                          Matt M  1 weeks back

                                                          This is just so fantastic. I'm selfishly glad it's around 10k views a week but it ought to be 100k or a million with the amount of people out there betting and playing DFS

                                                          • Matt M
                                                            Matt M  1 weeks back

                                                            @MrJamberee I thought that a bit in their first pod over the summer, less in the second, and was reminded of it again in the week 1 version of this weekly pod, but it's gotten better. Trust me I felt the same.

                                                            In the end, with roughly 10 hours of these two consumed now, Lef is not trying to dominate it at all and the dynamic is good. He's genuinely interested, working hard, and respects Warren which is why I was here to begin with.

                                                          • MrJamberee
                                                            MrJamberee  1 weeks back

                                                            Lefkoe is not the handicapper here, but he dominates the discussion, often with meaningless nonsense. He needs to dial it back.

                                                        • John Berzins
                                                          John Berzins  1 weeks back

                                                          5 Teams Guaranteed to Lose Week 5
                                                          Redskins
                                                          Jets
                                                          Colts
                                                          Raiders
                                                          Falcons

                                                          Here's hoping there won't be as many upsets this week.

                                                          • Doza Doza
                                                            Doza Doza  1 weeks back

                                                            My favorite pod of everyweek! Keep it up guys! Amazing wat youve done wit the show lefkoe, you DA MAN!

                                                            • Phillip Lewis
                                                              Phillip Lewis  2 weeks back

                                                              That damned intro on the picks!!! Good shit, oh yeah the podcasts are dope and entertaining also. Fly Eagles Fly!

                                                              • 813xSilentBob
                                                                813xSilentBob  2 weeks back

                                                                Every time I hear hope I just remember and tell myself, "It's a Buc's Life."

                                                                • Renzo Meza
                                                                  Renzo Meza  2 weeks back

                                                                  I LOVE THE SHOW!!!!!!!

                                                                  • LeBron James
                                                                    LeBron James  2 weeks back

                                                                    The Browns dominated that game. The only reason is was 10-10 in the 3rd was because Jarvis didn’t run his route through and Baker threw an INT. That game was never close.

                                                                    • Legendary King
                                                                      Legendary King  2 weeks back

                                                                      this is a great show since it gives out stats and good commentary

                                                                      • Frank Howard
                                                                        Frank Howard  2 weeks back

                                                                        Does Sharpe even watch games? Or does he rely solely on statistics?


                                                                        Fair question, IMO.

                                                                        • MrJamberee
                                                                          MrJamberee  1 weeks back

                                                                          He absolutely watches the games. Were you making a point, or just asking?

                                                                        • TheCaptainObvious2
                                                                          TheCaptainObvious2  1 weeks back

                                                                          He talks about watching the 1pm games on his home cinema in the beginning so my guess is yes

                                                                      • Golden Paydirt Reviews
                                                                        Golden Paydirt Reviews  2 weeks back

                                                                        Where Simms wow just realized he’s gone! Boooooo boring show

                                                                        • MrJamberee
                                                                          MrJamberee  1 weeks back

                                                                          27March27 I certainly agree that Lefkoe talks to much and contributes nothing of value. Warren Sharp should be going all of the talking.

                                                                        • 27March27
                                                                          27March27  1 weeks back

                                                                          @MrJamberee Nah dude. It's both. It's Lefkoe with his interrupting, fat mouth and ego that wastes our time. Remember the show last year when Simms told him repeatedly to STFU ?
                                                                          Lefkoe can be ok when he finally remembers that he has an audience and it's not all about him. HE RELIES ON EXPERTS TO MAKE IT REAL. Warren Sharp is super real.
                                                                          Miss the old theme tune too. Respect.

                                                                        • MrJamberee
                                                                          MrJamberee  1 weeks back

                                                                          As in Phil Simms? Lmfao. Whatever Simms it is, it’s better with sharp. Go take a nap.

                                                                        • 27March27
                                                                          27March27  1 weeks back

                                                                          Simms is cool man. an educator. Sharp is cool man, an educator. Lefkoe is a broadcaster with an ego and a bad memory. Unless he wants to be the next Colin Cowherd.

                                                                        • John Berzins
                                                                          John Berzins  2 weeks back

                                                                          I agree, the layout of this show was so much better and so much more engaging with Simms. Simms is now with NBC Sports and doing picks with Mike Florio.

                                                                      • Arash Faize
                                                                        Arash Faize  2 weeks back

                                                                        Giants would beat the Vikings

                                                                        • Phoenix Comments
                                                                          Phoenix Comments  2 weeks back

                                                                          Who thinks the packers will beat the cowbois? I do and hope